Saturday, December 24, 2011

In China, a daring few challenge one-child limit (AP)

ZHUJI, China ? Seven months pregnant, Wu Weiping sneaked out early in the morning carrying a shoulder bag with some clothes, her laptop and a knife.

"It's good for me I wasn't caught, but it's lucky for them too," said Wu, 35, who feared that family planning officials were going to drag her to the hospital for a forced abortion. "I was going to fight to the death if they found me."

With her escape, Wu joined an increasingly defiant community of parents in China who have risked their jobs, savings and physical safety to have a forbidden second child.

Though their numbers are small, they represent changing ideas about individual rights. While violators in the past tended to be rural families who skirted the birth limits in relative obscurity, many today are urbanites like Wu who frame their defiance in overtly political terms, arguing that the government has no right to dictate how many children they have.

Using Internet chat rooms and blogs, a few have begun airing their demands for a more liberal family planning policy and are hoping others will follow their lead. Several have gotten their stories into the tightly controlled media, an indication that their perspectives have resonance with the public.

After finding out his wife was expecting a second child, Liu Lianwen set up an online discussion group called "Free Birth" to swap information about the one-child policy and how to get around it. In less than six months, it has attracted nearly 200 members.

"We are idealists," said the 37-year-old engineer from central China, whose daughter was born Oct. 18. "We want to change the attitudes of people around us by changing ourselves."

Freed of the social controls imposed during the doctrinaire era of communist rule, Chinese today are free to choose where they live and work and whom they marry. But when it comes to having kids, the state says the majority must stop at one. Hefty fines for violators and rising economic pressures have helped compel most to abide by the limit. Many provinces claim near perfect compliance.

It's impossible to know how many children have been born in violation of the one-child policy, but Zhai Zhenwu, director of Renmin University's School of Sociology and Population in Beijing, estimates that less than 1 percent of the 16 million babies born each year are "out of plan."

Liu thinks his fellow citizens have been brainwashed. "They all feel it's glorious to have a small family," he said. "Thirty years of family planning propaganda have changed the way the majority of Chinese think about having children."

The reluctance to procreate is also an issue of growing concern for demographers, who worry that the policy combined with a rising cost of living has brought the fertility rate down too sharply and too fast. Though still the world's largest nation with 1.3 billion people, China's population growth has slowed considerably.

"The worry for China is not population growth ? it's rapid population aging and young people not wanting to have children," said Wang Feng, director of the Brookings-Tsinghua Center for Public Policy, a joint U.S.-China academic research center in Beijing.

Wang sees a looming disaster as the baby boom generation of the 1960s heads into retirement and old age. China's labor force, sharply reduced by the one-child policy, will struggle to support them.

He argues that the government should allow everyone at least two children. He thinks many Chinese would still stop at one because of concerns about being able to afford to raise more than that.

Penalties for violators are harsh. Those caught must pay a "social compensation fee," which can be four to nine times a family's annual income, depending on the province and the whim of the local family planning bureau. Parents with government jobs can also lose their posts or get demoted, and their "out of plan" children are denied education and health benefits.

Those without government posts have less to worry about. If they can afford the steep fee and don't mind losing benefits, there's little to stop them from having another child. There's popular anger over this favoring of the wealthy but not much that ordinary people can do about it, since the policy is set behind closed doors by the communist leadership in Beijing.

In 2007, officials in coastal Zhejiang province threatened to start naming and shaming well-off families who had extra kids, but the campaign never got off the ground, possibly because it threatened to tarnish the reputations of too many well-connected people.

Hardest hit by the rules are urban middle class parents with Communist Party posts, teaching positions or jobs at state-run industries.

Li Yongan was ordered to pay 240,000 yuan ($37,500) after his son was born in 2007 as he already had a 13-year-old daughter. After refusing to pay the fee, Li was denied a household registration permit for his son, forcing him to pay three times more for kindergarten.

He was also barred from his job teaching physics at a state-run university in Beijing. "I never regret my second child, but I have been living with depression and anger for years," said Li, who struggles to make ends meet as a freelance chess teacher.

Of course, there are surreptitious, though not foolproof, ways to evade punishment: paying a bribe or falsifying documents so that, for instance, a second child is registered as the twin of an older sibling. Or, sometimes second babies are registered to childless relatives or rural families that are allowed to have a second child but haven't done so.

Wu, the woman who made the early morning escape, said she never intended to flout the one-child rule. She had resorted to fertility treatments to conceive her first child ? a daughter nicknamed Le Le, or Happy ? so she was stunned when a doctor told her she was expecting again in August 2008.

The news triggered a monthlong "cold war" with her husband, Wu said. Silent dinners, cold shoulders. She wanted to keep the baby. He didn't. After a few weeks, he came around, she explained with a satisfied smile.

But family planning officials insisted on an abortion. The principal at her school also pressured her to end the pregnancy.

Desperate, she went online for answers ? and was led astray.

At her home on the outskirts of Zhuji, a textile hub a few hours south of Shanghai, the energetic former high school teacher recounted how she divorced her husband, then married her cousin the next day, all in an attempt to evade the rules.

The soap-opera-like subterfuge was meant to take advantage of a loophole that allows divorced parents to have a second child if their new spouse is a first-time parent.

Wu had helped raise her cousin, who is 25 and 10 years younger than her, and when she asked if he would marry her to help save the baby, he agreed.

The divorce, on Sept. 27, 2008, involved signing a document and posing for a photo. It was over in just a few minutes. The next day's marriage was similarly swift.

"I remember I was very happy that day," Wu said holding the marriage certificate with a glued-on snapshot of the cousins. "Because I thought I'd figured out a way to save my baby."

But her problem wasn't over. When the newlyweds applied for a birth permit, officials informed them conception had to take place after marriage. They were told to abort the baby, then try again. Wu was back to square one.

A popular option that was out of reach for Wu economically is to have the baby elsewhere, where the limits don't apply. Some better-off Chinese go to Hong Kong, where private agencies charge mainland mothers hundreds of thousands of yuan (tens of thousands of dollars) for transport, lodging and medical costs.

The number giving birth in Hong Kong reached 40,000 last year, prompting the territory to cap the number of beds in public hospitals they are allowed from 2012. However, parents of kids born abroad face the bureaucratic hurdles of foreigners, having to pay premiums for school and other services.

In the end, Wu also fled, but not as far as Hong Kong. Three months from her due date, she kissed her baby daughter goodbye, telling her she was going on vacation, and hopped an early morning train to nearby Hangzhou. There she switched to another train bound for Shanghai, hoping the roundabout route would throw off anyone trying to tail her.

In Shanghai, Wu used a friend's ID to rent a one-room apartment with shared bathroom and kitchen. It was tiny and not cheap for her, 700 yuan ($107) a month, but it was across from a hospital that allowed her to register without a government-issued birth permission slip and it had an Internet connection.

Wu had never used email, so her husband ? the real one ? set up a password-protected online journal that he titled "yixiaobb," or "one tiny baby." She posted to the journal up to nine times a day, describing where she was living without ever revealing her exact location. She prefaced every entry with a capital M for mother, and added a number to mark how many messages she wrote in a day. Using the same journal, her husband wrote to her, coding his messages with an F.

It felt like an invisible tether linking Wu to her husband. He didn't know where she was, but knew she was OK. Shortly before her due date, she asked him to come to Shanghai, and he was present for the birth of their son.

More than two years later, she and her former husband, the father to both her children, have yet to remarry ? hoping it will legally shield him from any future punishment.

The marriage with her cousin was easily dissolved after they discovered it was never valid, because marriages between first cousins is illegal in China.

Wu was fired from her job as a public school teacher because of the baby, and her ex-husband, who is also a teacher, was demoted to a freelance position at his school. Though told she has been assessed a 120,740 yuan ($18,575) social compensation fee, Wu has refused to pay.

Enforcers of the family planning limits showed up at their house in July, and again in November, threatening legal action. Wu is afraid their property might be confiscated or that she or husband might end up in detention, but she doesn't want to pay the fine because she doesn't believe she's done anything wrong.

"I don't think I've committed any crime," she said. "A crime is something that hurts other people or society or that infringes on other people's rights. I don't think having a baby is any kind of crime."

Source: http://us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/rss/china/*http%3A//news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20111224/ap_on_re_as/as_china_two_kids

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Going Naked (The Motley Fool)

Success stories are regular features of The Motley Fool's Rule Your Retirement newsletter service, where we share profiles of people who have become financially independent. One of the most remarkable stories we've come across is that of Akaisha and Billy Kaderli, who retired two decades ago at the age of 38 and began traveling the world. They wrote the popular books The Adventurer's Guide to Early Retirement and The Guide to Chapala Living.

There's one thing everyone has to worry about. It's a fatiguing topic and one filled with emotion and fear. As a nation, we can hardly get past it, and present solutions are sometimes as hard to handle as the problem itself.

I'm talking about health care, and how to pay for it.

High cost and obstacles
We know a couple who pay $1,200 a month for a catastrophic, high-deductible plan in the States, despite having never had a claim. Another couple pay $2,000 a month just for the husband's ability to be insured with his pre-existing heart condition. Some people are not able to be covered at all with U.S. insurance companies due to a past condition, even when it completely cleared up a decade or more ago. They feel they are just twisting in the wind and waiting for the next shoe to drop.

Sometimes, our readers write to us about staying in their jobs for another five years or more for the promise of employer-covered health insurance that will last the rest of their lives. They wonder, Is it worth it? They feel like they are spending their healthy years chained to a job that has lost its luster for something in the future that might not exist when they need or want it.

Going naked
As you know, Billy and I have traded security for adventure many times in our lives. And when it comes to health insurance and the price of health care, it's no different. Medical Tourism is a viable option and one that we espouse in our articles and books. We have been called on the carpet for our decisions in this area more than once.

However, among world travelers there is a phrase we use when we discuss health insurance policies and whether or not we want to continue holding one and paying the corresponding price tag. It's called "going naked" or "going semi-naked."

This phrase pretty much describes how it feels when one chooses to let that insurance policy go. One can feel pretty exposed and vulnerable -- at least in the beginning. On the other hand, not being tied to $12,000 to $24,000 in health-insurance payments each and every year opens up other possibilities. In a few years, you can save enough money from not paying premiums to afford something unexpected out of pocket.

For the most part we're talking about travelers here, so these are people not living a full-time traditional life in the States. They have made certain decisions and trade-offs to have the life they enjoy, and they have already received health care in other countries. There is always a first time for an experience such as this -- going to a doctor in a foreign country -- and that new experience can be unnerving. But then after receiving the care, realizing the doctor speaks English, seeing the hospital or clinic with its computers and quality equipment, and having the heartfelt care, they often get a much better perspective.

Those who have never received medical service out of their own home country tend to look at this topic with jaded eyes or great suspicion.

It's understandable.

Those who have gone through this experience feel their eyes have been opened to new possibilities. The idea of "going naked" of an insurance policy becomes a manageable possibility. Going "half-naked" (choosing a high-deductible policy or travel insurance when visiting the States) is a comfortable middle ground.

Your choice
Once again, Billy and I are not advising anyone to do anything. We present options to challenging situations, and you can ruminate about it or toss it into the round file.

But what we see over and over again is how this one subject seems to be overweighted as compared to other themes that could generate happiness and comfort in one's retirement life. Categories such as cost of living, reasonable weather, and having a community of friends and energizing, rewarding activities to do, for instance.

There is no one size fits all, to be sure.

But if the overbearing cost of health care and insurance is a concern in your retirement plans, you might consider some working alternatives.

For more information on Medical Tourism, click here. For Alternative Medical options, click here.?

Billy and Akaisha Kaderli are recognized retirement experts and internationally published authors on topics of finance and world travel. With the wealth of information they share on their popular website RetireEarlyLifestyle.com, they have been helping people achieve their own retirement dreams since 1991.

Source: http://us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/rss/personalfinance/*http%3A//news.yahoo.com/s/fool/20111222/bs_fool_fool/rx170563

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DerekPonamsky: RT @darrenrovell: Guys at @fans tell me the Honey Badger's No. 7 LSU jersey became the top selling NCAA jersey this season in the last 4 ...

Twitter / darren rovell: Guys at @fans tell me the ... Loader Guys at @ tell me the Honey Badger's No. 7 LSU jersey became the top selling NCAA jersey this season in the last 45 days

Source: http://twitter.com/DerekPonamsky/statuses/149968242230837248

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Friday, December 23, 2011

2012 Watch: One-year countdown begins

INAH

The Maya Long Count calendar and its connection to 2012 have long been topics of controversy.

By Alan Boyle

What is it about doomsday that draws a crowd?

Time after time, doomsayers have predicted the breakdown of society on a date certain, stirring up a buzz that builds to a crescendo and ends in a crash when doomsday doesn't come. 1844 brought the Great Disappointment, 1999 brought the Y2K alarm, 2011 brought the Rapture ruckus, and exactly a year from today, we're due for the Maya apocalypse.

If the past is any indicator, we'll be intently blogging, tweeting and indulging in black humor as the clock ticks?down to Dec. 21, 2012. Then, on Dec. 22,?we'll look?around?for the next doomsday.

It's just human nature, says Oregon State University sociologist?Richard Mitchell, author of a book about survivalist?trends titled "Dancing at Armageddon."?Telling stories and trading tips?for making it through the catastrophe that's ahead of us are pursuits that go back to ancient times.


"The attraction of all of these 'final crisis' tales is in the re-narration, the puzzling out of the details, the putting of fragmented facts into a coherent narrative," Mitchell said.

There are plenty of fragmented facts to choose from for 2012's "end of the world" narrative, including?the?Maya Long Count calendar, which supposedly winds down to the end of a 5,126-year-long cycle next Dec. 21. Today the?city?of Tapachula in southern?Mexico is?turning on a digital clock for the yearlong countdown, and Mayan priests?are performing a ceremony at a nearby archaeological site.

They're dramatizing the doomsday date?largely to drum up tourism. "If people are interested, we have to take advantage of this," Manolo Alfonso Pino, the regional tourism director for?Mexico's Chiapas state, told The Associated Press.

Other angles include the recent string of natural disasters?and extreme weather events,?the upswing in solar activity, and even the ramp-up of the Large Hadron Collider. The narrative gets embellished with additional twists from seemingly ancient lore, such as the?feared approach of a mysterious unseen planet, or a prediction that "30?hours of blindness" will beset us.

Some of the?concerns should be taken seriously ? for example, heightened solar storms really can have a negative effect on power grids and communication satellites, and the link between global warming and?wild weather is truly a valid topic of scientific debate. But there's no need to worry about Planet X or the LHC, and even the real concerns?aren't any cause for catastrophic talk. Don Yeomans, who heads the Near Earth Object Program at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory, addresses the 2012 hype in this video:

Mitchell doesn't expect the hard-core prophets of doom to accept the assurances of NASA ... or, for that matter, Cosmic Log. "They don't trust the media or academia, because we do in fact pose a real threat ??not to their physical well-being, but to their storytelling," he said.

Any potential for panic?
Is there a danger in doomsday stories? Based on his studies of survivalists, Mitchell doubts that 2012 worries will touch off?mass panic. He told me that folks who are worried about the collapse of society usually shy away from group activities. "There aren't any 'groups,' though one will pop up every once in a while, just to see and be seen," he said. "It's just a myth to suggest that groups exist, other than online mailing lists that nudge electrons back and forth. Largely, it's individual activity, if there's any activity at all."

But Rosanna Guadagno, a social psychologist at the University of Alabama, worries that websites and apocalyptic chatter on the Internet could create a "tipping point" for 2012 hysteria. "I think it's going to ramp up as we get closer to next December," she told me.

Live Poll

What will happen in 2012?

  • 171415

    Nothing out of the ordinary.

    63%

  • 171416

    The doomsday hype will cause a disturbance.

    16%

  • 171417

    I honestly think something weird will happen.

    21%

VoteTotal Votes: 1666

Guadagno's research focuses on the effect that computer-mediated communication has on social interaction and?influence.

"The one thing that we have going against us is the way that information spreads online," she told me on Tuesday. "For example, yesterday half the world thought Jon Bon Jovi was dead, just because one person set up a website."

What if?someone decided to go viral with the apocalypse?

"It won't take that many?people to take advantage of the Internet, to basically spread a lot of misinformation and cause panic among greater numbers," Guadagno said. "Hopefully the general public will be forewarned that this is all?bunk."

That's what we're here for. And we'll be here?whenever the bunk hits the fan during 2012. So whatever you do, DON'T PANIC!

Update for 5 p.m. ET: The doomsday predictions have centered on Dec. 21 as the fateful date, but that's not the unanimous opinion of experts on Maya glyphs. Penn Museum's Simon Martin, for example, is among those who say that Dec. 23 rather than Dec. 21? marks the end of the Maya calendar's millennia-long baktun cycle. Actually, the discrepancy may turn out to be?more than just a couple of days: Gerardo Aldana, a professor at the University of California at Santa Barbara, says conversions of the Maya calendar to the modern calendar could be off by as much as 50 to 100 years.

An exhibit at the Penn Museum, titled "Maya 2012: Lords of Time," will focus on the ancient Maya people's conceptions of?the universe, including?their ideas about time and the calendar. The?Philadelphia show opens on May 5 and?will end on ... Jan. 13, 2013.?

Extra credit: After 2012, what's the next doomsday to watch for? Here are a few dates that are popping up:

  • 2014, when the LHC is due to reach full power. Some folks believe the second decade of any century is a rough time, just because it historically has been. Nicholas Boyle, a professor specializing in German literature and history at Cambridge University (and no close relative of mine), has already written a book?on that theme?titled "2014: How to Survive the Next World Crisis." Not sure what that has to do with German, but OK.?
  • 2029, when futurist Ray Kurzweil expects machine intelligence to equal human intelligence.
  • 2045, when Kurzweil foresees a global transformation?dramatic enough to be classified as a "singularity."
  • 2060, the?"no-earlier-than" date for Isaac Newton's predicted doomsday.

It's interesting that these dates?are?all about 15 years apart. Is there a 15-year doomsday activity cycle, analogous to the 11-year solar activity cycle??That's one more thing to mull over in the comment section below.

More from '2012 Watch':


Alan Boyle is msnbc.com's science editor. Connect with the Cosmic Log community by "liking" the log's Facebook page, following @b0yle on Twitter and adding the Cosmic Log page to your Google+ presence. You can also check out "The Case for Pluto," my book about the controversial dwarf planet and the search for new worlds.

Source: http://cosmiclog.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2011/12/20/9592763-2012-watch-the-countdown-begins

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Prince Harry and Pippa Middleton Really Need to Hook Up This Weekend


Pippa Middleton will be joining the British Royal Family for the holidays. You know what that means ... let the rumors of her hooking up with Prince Harry begin!

For the first time in their lives, Pippa and Kate Middleton will be spending Christmas away from their parents. For newly-married Kate, that was almost a given.

Pippa was invited to spend the holidays with the royals not because she's a major cutie (even though she is) but so her sister could also have family around.

Prince Harry will also be present, of course, so ...

Prince Harry and Pippa Middleton Photo

On the day after Christmas, Boxing Day, Pippa and Kate will join William, Harry and the rest of the royals for the family's annual pheasant shoot in the country.

This is a pretty big deal as, traditionally, this is reserved only for members of the royal family and their significant others. But this is one gorgeous exception.

Pippa's presence is via the urging of William, who wants to make Kate's first holiday with her in-laws more comfortable. Not that Prince Harry's complaining.

Yes, we know nothing's going on with the two, but they're both single now, and she's going to be seeing the younger prince in hunting attire. Game over.

Those two are definitely going to hook up. Or at least they should. Right?

Source: http://www.thehollywoodgossip.com/2011/12/prince-harry-and-pippa-middleton-really-need-to-hook-up-this-wee/

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Source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/GazaroLatestDeals/~3/Z1sPysri--o/microsoft-wireless-keyboard-6000-black-j9c00001-10-5

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